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I wouldn't say it's 75 percent, but yes a part of me finds it hard to believe that Barcelona and Messi didn't understand -- or even know about the existence of? -- the La Liga salary cap until like four weeks ago. The statement makes it sound like they offered Messi a new deal as if there we no salary cap rules, he accepted, and then they realized that there were salary cap rules. Could that be that dense? I don't know. I'll say there's like a 1-in-10 chance he stays at the club.

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Conspiracy is that this works for both sides. Barca get to save a bunch of money, Messi gets to play for a team that isn’t a mess, noone’s to blame.

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Maybe Barca just way overestimated their ability to move other players to make room for Messi's salary?

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basic incompetence by people in power is never a bad bet these days

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I wish I could give you more hearts...

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