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Absolutely agree! You're gonna have a couple embarrassing exits because soccer is random, but it works out over the long run. Look at Bayern yesterday -- or even PSG. They got ripped open a bunch in the first 30 minutes, both teams, and then dominated the rest of the match.

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Ultimately, this game and every game is going to come down to randomness, but going for a 5-2 xG line instead of 3-1 seems more likely to be successful

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